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  4. Scientist makes horror prediction that the world will 'collapse in just 25 years

Scientist makes horror prediction that the world will 'collapse in just 25 years

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  • H hellsbelle@sh.itjust.works

    A scientist has made the shocking claim that there's a 49% chance the world will end in just 25 years. Jared Diamond, American scientist and historian, predicted civilisation could collapse by 2050. He told Intelligencer: "I would estimate the chances are about 49% that the world as we know it will collapse by about 2050."

    Diamond explained that fisheries and farms across the globe are being "managed unsustainably", causing resources to be depleted at an alarming rate. He added: "At the rate we’re going now, resources that are essential for complex societies are being managed unsustainably. Fisheries around the world, most fisheries are being managed unsustainably, and they’re getting depleted.

    "Farms around the world, most farms are being managed unsustainably. Soil, topsoil around the world. Fresh water around the world is being managed unsustainably."

    The Pulitzer Prize winning author warned that we must come up with more sustainable practices by 2050, "or it'll be too late".

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    buffalox@lemmy.world
    wrote last edited by
    #4

    A scientist has made the shocking claim that there’s a 49% chance the world will end in just 25 years.

    100% it will not, no scientist worth anything would ever make such a moronic claim.
    A possibility could be that civilization will end, but that's not the same as the end of the world, it's just the end of civilization.
    The earth may change in ways that make it uninhabitable for humans, but that's not the end of the world, "just" the end of humanity.
    It's very hard to take people serious when they make such obviously erroneous (stupid) claims.

    Most likely it's an American, and it's just USA that will end, because Americans tend to think USA = The World.

    V H 2 Replies Last reply
    3
    • B buffalox@lemmy.world

      A scientist has made the shocking claim that there’s a 49% chance the world will end in just 25 years.

      100% it will not, no scientist worth anything would ever make such a moronic claim.
      A possibility could be that civilization will end, but that's not the same as the end of the world, it's just the end of civilization.
      The earth may change in ways that make it uninhabitable for humans, but that's not the end of the world, "just" the end of humanity.
      It's very hard to take people serious when they make such obviously erroneous (stupid) claims.

      Most likely it's an American, and it's just USA that will end, because Americans tend to think USA = The World.

      V This user is from outside of this forum
      V This user is from outside of this forum
      voroxpete@sh.itjust.works
      wrote last edited by
      #5

      no scientist worth anything would ever make such a moronic claim.

      He didn't. It would have taken you five seconds to read the excerpt OP posted and notice that the actual quote is "I would estimate the chances are about 49% that the world as we know it will collapse by about 2050."

      He didn't say the world will end. He didn't even say that civilisation will end. He said that the social order we enjoy today could collapse. But rather than take five seconds to notice that, you decided to yell about nothing because it was more important to voice your opinion than it was to check your facts.

      B S 2 Replies Last reply
      6
      • B buffalox@lemmy.world

        A scientist has made the shocking claim that there’s a 49% chance the world will end in just 25 years.

        100% it will not, no scientist worth anything would ever make such a moronic claim.
        A possibility could be that civilization will end, but that's not the same as the end of the world, it's just the end of civilization.
        The earth may change in ways that make it uninhabitable for humans, but that's not the end of the world, "just" the end of humanity.
        It's very hard to take people serious when they make such obviously erroneous (stupid) claims.

        Most likely it's an American, and it's just USA that will end, because Americans tend to think USA = The World.

        H This user is from outside of this forum
        H This user is from outside of this forum
        hasturinyellow@lemmy.world
        wrote last edited by
        #6

        I think you're being, not only pedantic, but also just wrong. "The world will end" is a perfectly apt description to just about anyone about what is going on. The world will be uninhabitable for A MAJORITY of life that currently exists.

        Permian extinction: last time shit like this happened, temps rose 10°C over 10,000's of years. Still killed 90% of ALL LIFE. To be so arrogant as to presume that the USA collapsing would not have any knock on effects on the rest of the world. To presume that what kills of humans would do nothing to any other life. To presume that that scientist is a moron who just LOVES AMERICA so very much, because why else would he say things that make me feel bad?

        B 1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • H hasturinyellow@lemmy.world

          I think you're being, not only pedantic, but also just wrong. "The world will end" is a perfectly apt description to just about anyone about what is going on. The world will be uninhabitable for A MAJORITY of life that currently exists.

          Permian extinction: last time shit like this happened, temps rose 10°C over 10,000's of years. Still killed 90% of ALL LIFE. To be so arrogant as to presume that the USA collapsing would not have any knock on effects on the rest of the world. To presume that what kills of humans would do nothing to any other life. To presume that that scientist is a moron who just LOVES AMERICA so very much, because why else would he say things that make me feel bad?

          B This user is from outside of this forum
          B This user is from outside of this forum
          buffalox@lemmy.world
          wrote last edited by
          #7

          I think you’re being, not only pedantic, but also just wrong.

          What part of what I quoted can't you read? It's not being pedantic, it's a matter of facts. Calling it the end of the world is extremely poor semantics, and poor semantics lead to poor understanding.

          The world will be uninhabitable

          That's not the end of the world either. I described that VERY clearly.

          Permian extinction:

          Exactly, and that was not the end of the earth either, even the end of all life on earth is not the end of the earth.
          You may call it merely semantics, I call it facts. Poor semantics result in poor understanding.

          H 1 Reply Last reply
          2
          • V voroxpete@sh.itjust.works

            no scientist worth anything would ever make such a moronic claim.

            He didn't. It would have taken you five seconds to read the excerpt OP posted and notice that the actual quote is "I would estimate the chances are about 49% that the world as we know it will collapse by about 2050."

            He didn't say the world will end. He didn't even say that civilisation will end. He said that the social order we enjoy today could collapse. But rather than take five seconds to notice that, you decided to yell about nothing because it was more important to voice your opinion than it was to check your facts.

            B This user is from outside of this forum
            B This user is from outside of this forum
            buffalox@lemmy.world
            wrote last edited by
            #8

            I would estimate the chances are about 49% that the world as we know it will collapse by about 2050.”

            EXACTLY, so no scientist would make the previous stupid claim, just as I described, meaning it's probably poor journalism editorializing what the scientist really claimed.

            Do you really think I should have made my post LONGER? Further describing how and why it's stupid, can you really not see it from the part I described?

            T 1 Reply Last reply
            1
            • H hellsbelle@sh.itjust.works

              A scientist has made the shocking claim that there's a 49% chance the world will end in just 25 years. Jared Diamond, American scientist and historian, predicted civilisation could collapse by 2050. He told Intelligencer: "I would estimate the chances are about 49% that the world as we know it will collapse by about 2050."

              Diamond explained that fisheries and farms across the globe are being "managed unsustainably", causing resources to be depleted at an alarming rate. He added: "At the rate we’re going now, resources that are essential for complex societies are being managed unsustainably. Fisheries around the world, most fisheries are being managed unsustainably, and they’re getting depleted.

              "Farms around the world, most farms are being managed unsustainably. Soil, topsoil around the world. Fresh water around the world is being managed unsustainably."

              The Pulitzer Prize winning author warned that we must come up with more sustainable practices by 2050, "or it'll be too late".

              ph3ra@lemmy.mlP This user is from outside of this forum
              ph3ra@lemmy.mlP This user is from outside of this forum
              ph3ra@lemmy.ml
              wrote last edited by
              #9

              Well I already knew I wouldn't manage to retire...

              A 1 Reply Last reply
              4
              • B buffalox@lemmy.world

                I would estimate the chances are about 49% that the world as we know it will collapse by about 2050.”

                EXACTLY, so no scientist would make the previous stupid claim, just as I described, meaning it's probably poor journalism editorializing what the scientist really claimed.

                Do you really think I should have made my post LONGER? Further describing how and why it's stupid, can you really not see it from the part I described?

                T This user is from outside of this forum
                T This user is from outside of this forum
                typhoon@lemmy.ca
                wrote last edited by
                #10

                Do you really think I should have made my post LONGER?

                No but you could've made it much shorter by cutting out the commentary based only on the headline and didn't read the article.

                B 1 Reply Last reply
                4
                • T typhoon@lemmy.ca

                  Do you really think I should have made my post LONGER?

                  No but you could've made it much shorter by cutting out the commentary based only on the headline and didn't read the article.

                  B This user is from outside of this forum
                  B This user is from outside of this forum
                  buffalox@lemmy.world
                  wrote last edited by buffalox@lemmy.world
                  #11

                  My comment was NOT based on the headline, read again...

                  I made a quote from the selected parts OP used!
                  And disregarding the bullshit I receive for it, my comment is actually factual and correct, contrary to the article and the criticism of my comment.

                  I quote a part that is CLEARLY in error, as I stated NO serious scientist would write such bullshit.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  1
                  • H hellsbelle@sh.itjust.works

                    A scientist has made the shocking claim that there's a 49% chance the world will end in just 25 years. Jared Diamond, American scientist and historian, predicted civilisation could collapse by 2050. He told Intelligencer: "I would estimate the chances are about 49% that the world as we know it will collapse by about 2050."

                    Diamond explained that fisheries and farms across the globe are being "managed unsustainably", causing resources to be depleted at an alarming rate. He added: "At the rate we’re going now, resources that are essential for complex societies are being managed unsustainably. Fisheries around the world, most fisheries are being managed unsustainably, and they’re getting depleted.

                    "Farms around the world, most farms are being managed unsustainably. Soil, topsoil around the world. Fresh water around the world is being managed unsustainably."

                    The Pulitzer Prize winning author warned that we must come up with more sustainable practices by 2050, "or it'll be too late".

                    T This user is from outside of this forum
                    T This user is from outside of this forum
                    tigerace@lemmy.dbzer0.com
                    wrote last edited by
                    #12

                    Optimistic

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    11
                    • I icystar@lemmy.cif.su

                      This isn't news.

                      D This user is from outside of this forum
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                      drusas@fedia.io
                      wrote last edited by
                      #13

                      And this isn't a news community.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • ph3ra@lemmy.mlP ph3ra@lemmy.ml

                        Well I already knew I wouldn't manage to retire...

                        A This user is from outside of this forum
                        A This user is from outside of this forum
                        anarchiddy@lemmy.dbzer0.com
                        wrote last edited by
                        #14

                        Well at least this means there's a 50% chance I won't need the retirement savings that Im not going to have

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        5
                        • B buffalox@lemmy.world

                          I think you’re being, not only pedantic, but also just wrong.

                          What part of what I quoted can't you read? It's not being pedantic, it's a matter of facts. Calling it the end of the world is extremely poor semantics, and poor semantics lead to poor understanding.

                          The world will be uninhabitable

                          That's not the end of the world either. I described that VERY clearly.

                          Permian extinction:

                          Exactly, and that was not the end of the earth either, even the end of all life on earth is not the end of the earth.
                          You may call it merely semantics, I call it facts. Poor semantics result in poor understanding.

                          H This user is from outside of this forum
                          H This user is from outside of this forum
                          hasturinyellow@lemmy.world
                          wrote last edited by
                          #15

                          Your argument is not wrong in the clinical sense. Just in the sense that it is so obtuse and irrelevant that your insistence that it is the only correct way to view things makes me not take you seriously.

                          B 1 Reply Last reply
                          1
                          • H hellsbelle@sh.itjust.works

                            A scientist has made the shocking claim that there's a 49% chance the world will end in just 25 years. Jared Diamond, American scientist and historian, predicted civilisation could collapse by 2050. He told Intelligencer: "I would estimate the chances are about 49% that the world as we know it will collapse by about 2050."

                            Diamond explained that fisheries and farms across the globe are being "managed unsustainably", causing resources to be depleted at an alarming rate. He added: "At the rate we’re going now, resources that are essential for complex societies are being managed unsustainably. Fisheries around the world, most fisheries are being managed unsustainably, and they’re getting depleted.

                            "Farms around the world, most farms are being managed unsustainably. Soil, topsoil around the world. Fresh water around the world is being managed unsustainably."

                            The Pulitzer Prize winning author warned that we must come up with more sustainable practices by 2050, "or it'll be too late".

                            blackfeathr@lemmy.worldB This user is from outside of this forum
                            blackfeathr@lemmy.worldB This user is from outside of this forum
                            blackfeathr@lemmy.world
                            wrote last edited by blackfeathr@lemmy.world
                            #16

                            Y'know, Quasimodo predicted all this.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            4
                            • V voroxpete@sh.itjust.works

                              no scientist worth anything would ever make such a moronic claim.

                              He didn't. It would have taken you five seconds to read the excerpt OP posted and notice that the actual quote is "I would estimate the chances are about 49% that the world as we know it will collapse by about 2050."

                              He didn't say the world will end. He didn't even say that civilisation will end. He said that the social order we enjoy today could collapse. But rather than take five seconds to notice that, you decided to yell about nothing because it was more important to voice your opinion than it was to check your facts.

                              S This user is from outside of this forum
                              S This user is from outside of this forum
                              shawn1122@sh.itjust.works
                              wrote last edited by
                              #17

                              Dunno if everyone is enjoying that social order. But it's certainly true that there's less order than there was 20 years ago.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              1
                              • H hellsbelle@sh.itjust.works

                                A scientist has made the shocking claim that there's a 49% chance the world will end in just 25 years. Jared Diamond, American scientist and historian, predicted civilisation could collapse by 2050. He told Intelligencer: "I would estimate the chances are about 49% that the world as we know it will collapse by about 2050."

                                Diamond explained that fisheries and farms across the globe are being "managed unsustainably", causing resources to be depleted at an alarming rate. He added: "At the rate we’re going now, resources that are essential for complex societies are being managed unsustainably. Fisheries around the world, most fisheries are being managed unsustainably, and they’re getting depleted.

                                "Farms around the world, most farms are being managed unsustainably. Soil, topsoil around the world. Fresh water around the world is being managed unsustainably."

                                The Pulitzer Prize winning author warned that we must come up with more sustainable practices by 2050, "or it'll be too late".

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                                A This user is from outside of this forum
                                alphaomega@lemmy.world
                                wrote last edited by
                                #18

                                I checked my magic 8 ball, we are screwed

                                F 1 Reply Last reply
                                4
                                • A alphaomega@lemmy.world

                                  I checked my magic 8 ball, we are screwed

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                                  formfiller@lemmy.world
                                  wrote last edited by formfiller@lemmy.world
                                  #19

                                  I’d rather the magic 8 ball make our decisions than most politicians. We’d have a higher chance of survival

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  5
                                  • H hellsbelle@sh.itjust.works

                                    A scientist has made the shocking claim that there's a 49% chance the world will end in just 25 years. Jared Diamond, American scientist and historian, predicted civilisation could collapse by 2050. He told Intelligencer: "I would estimate the chances are about 49% that the world as we know it will collapse by about 2050."

                                    Diamond explained that fisheries and farms across the globe are being "managed unsustainably", causing resources to be depleted at an alarming rate. He added: "At the rate we’re going now, resources that are essential for complex societies are being managed unsustainably. Fisheries around the world, most fisheries are being managed unsustainably, and they’re getting depleted.

                                    "Farms around the world, most farms are being managed unsustainably. Soil, topsoil around the world. Fresh water around the world is being managed unsustainably."

                                    The Pulitzer Prize winning author warned that we must come up with more sustainable practices by 2050, "or it'll be too late".

                                    R This user is from outside of this forum
                                    R This user is from outside of this forum
                                    rooty@lemmy.world
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #20

                                    Calling Jared Diamond a scientist is pushing it.

                                    C L T 3 Replies Last reply
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                                    • R rooty@lemmy.world

                                      Calling Jared Diamond a scientist is pushing it.

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                                      cuffsoffwilly@lemmy.ml
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #21

                                      I was thinking the same thing so I looked him up and he has a BSc in biochemical science (Harvard) and a PhD from Cambridge in biophysics of the gallbladder. Colour me shocked. Still, kind of stepping outside his zone of expertise on this grand statement.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      3
                                      • F favoredponcho@lemmy.zip

                                        MIT predicted society would collapse by 2040 back in the 70s.

                                        sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.comS This user is from outside of this forum
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                                        sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com
                                        wrote last edited by sp3ctr4l@lemmy.dbzer0.com
                                        #22

                                        That model keeps getting tweaked and rerun, as others have mentioned, its from 'The Limits to Growth, otherwise known as the 'World 3 model'.

                                        In this one, instesd of measuring 'pollution', which was....fairly difficult to get accurate data on... they just used CO2 instead.

                                        Pretty much same result, we are pretty much at the peak of modern civilization right now.

                                        IIRC, thats a screen grab from Paul Beckwith, a pretty well renowned climate scientist... he has a youtube channel, he puts out like a 20ish slide powerpoint recapping other recent climate studies every week or so ...

                                        Basically we are fucked, all our climate models from 5 or 10 years ago were actually too optimistic, we already blew through 1.5C, the SMOC, the Anatactic part of the thermohaline cycle, already collapsed a decade ago, and we did not notice untill the last few months.

                                        We are tracking closer to the '8.5C by 2100' level of climate sensitivity models than anything else.

                                        Insurance companies are basically already abandoning roughly the lower third of the US, too much climate disaster danger, can't afford to insure homes and neighborhoods.

                                        UK Society of Actuaries recently put together their own risk assessment, from the ground up instesd of top down as the World 3 model... they are also predicting massive losses, economic damage, begging governments and insurance companies and banks to adopt mitigation strategies.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        3
                                        • R rooty@lemmy.world

                                          Calling Jared Diamond a scientist is pushing it.

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                                          lemmyknowsbest@lemmy.world
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #23

                                          Pulitzer Prize winning author

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